Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 15.561790 17.837487 20.346843 23.321879 26.756550 30.601840 35.239616
2025-11-09 12.262851 15.158212 18.610240 23.039690 28.588038 35.328437 44.169301
2025-11-16 10.298831 13.427325 17.369437 22.721233 29.828953 38.988392 51.758112
2025-11-23 8.849937 12.049170 16.266257 22.262091 30.618108 41.924435 58.508056
2025-11-30 8.217665 11.624879 16.298926 23.223217 33.297228 47.537407 69.401744
2025-12-07 7.527295 11.014302 15.969646 23.583522 35.093665 52.012977 79.080795
2025-12-14 6.845195 10.325699 15.431755 23.540686 36.233408 55.567933 87.684671
2025-12-21 6.225685 9.656551 14.838860 23.322865 37.036138 58.625735 95.763131
2025-12-28 5.938827 9.462402 14.936854 24.166839 39.558552 64.581622 109.119854
2026-01-04 5.629236 9.196670 14.887069 24.749346 41.684358 70.062063 122.227153
2026-01-11 5.400851 9.037304 14.985693 25.571441 44.268187 76.525389 137.701763
2026-01-18 4.939281 8.444100 14.308110 24.994916 44.355663 78.650623 145.557786
2026-01-25 4.560722 7.965836 13.793242 24.669813 44.883945 81.654401 155.471592
2026-02-01 4.227493 7.537712 13.327439 24.385667 45.451743 84.772387 165.936032
2026-02-08 3.920674 7.129394 12.859376 24.047341 45.871296 87.627135 176.157335
2026-02-15 3.623469 6.712993 12.340067 23.560067 45.946610 89.804289 185.209538
2026-02-22 3.554006 6.715242 12.594274 24.580130 49.075183 98.286710 208.311149
2026-03-01 3.407527 6.557451 12.530294 24.962561 50.945982 104.393119 227.001919
2026-03-08 3.221895 6.307898 12.267457 24.917094 51.920928 108.721097 242.243971
2026-03-15 3.030756 6.032030 11.930090 24.685895 52.475516 112.196453 255.928898
2026-03-22 2.973222 6.021098 12.122305 25.581736 55.543264 121.416933 283.983001
2026-03-29 2.889668 5.949577 12.183786 26.200095 58.052834 129.635534 310.608168
2026-04-05 2.834224 5.932197 12.355571 27.072861 61.215830 139.645011 342.785767